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1.
Cancer Research and Treatment ; : 1260-1269, 2018.
Article in English | WPRIM | ID: wpr-717742

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Survival of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patient remains unknown and varies greatly from person to person. Thus, we aimed to construct a nomogram to quantify the survival probability of patients with MBC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We had included 793 MBC patients and calculated trends of case fatality rate by Kaplan-Meier method and joinpoint regression. Six hundred thirty-four patients with MBC between January 2004 and July 2011 and 159 patients with MBC between August 2011 and July 2013 were assigned to training cohort and internal validation cohort, respectively. We constructed the nomogram based on the results of univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses in the training cohort and validated the nomogram in the validation cohort. Concordance index and calibration curves were used to assess the effectiveness of nomogram. RESULTS: Case fatality rate of MBC was increasing (annual percentage change [APC], 21.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0 to 46.3; p < 0.05) in the first 18 months and then decreased (APC, -4.5; 95% CI, -8.2 to -0.7; p < 0.05). Metastasis-free interval, age, metastasis location, and hormone receptor status were independent prognostic factors and were included in the nomogram, which had a concordance index of 0.69 in the training cohort and 0.67 in the validation cohort. Calibration curves indicated good consistency between the two cohorts at 1 and 3 years. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, the fatality risk of MBC was increasing and reached the summit between 13th and 18th month after the detection of MBC. We have developed and validated a nomogram to predict the 1- and 3-year survival probability in MBC.


Subject(s)
Humans , Breast Neoplasms , Breast , Calibration , Cohort Studies , Methods , Mortality , Neoplasm Metastasis , Nomograms , Risk Assessment
2.
Chinese Journal of Dermatology ; (12): 891-893, 2011.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM | ID: wpr-417446

ABSTRACT

Objective To study the promotive effect of chitosan liquid on wound healing.Methods Wound model was established on the back of 60 rats,which were classified into 3 groups to be treated with topical chitosan liquid (group A),basic fibroblast growth factor (group B),and sodium chloride physiological solution (group C),respectively.The time required for the healing of wound was recorded.Regenerated tissues were resected from the rats on day 3,7 and 14 after the establishment of wound model,and observed with light microscopy.Results The time required for the healing of wound was 17.3 ± 1.35 days in group A,18.2 ± 1.15 days in group B,and 24.0 ± 1.37 days in group C.For the time required for the healing of wound,no significant difference was observed between the group A and B (P > 0.05),but group C significantly differed from group A and B (both P < 0.05).Chitosan liquid accelerated the generation of capillary sprouts and vascular endothelial cells at the early stage of wound healing,promoted the production of fibroblasts and collagen fibers at the middle stage,and improved the organization of collagen fibers at the late stage.Conclusion Chitosan liquid exerts a promising promotive effect on wound healing.

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